Ron Paul Maintains Lead in Iowa: Paul 24%, Romney 20%, Gingrich 13%




The last week and a half has brought little change in the standings for the Iowa Republican caucus: Ron Paul continues to lead Mitt Romney by a modest margin, 24-20. Newt Gingrich is in 3rd at 13% followed by Michele Bachmann at 11%, Rick Perry and Rick Santorum at 10%, Jon Huntsman at 4%, and Buddy Roemer at 2%.

Public Policy Polling (12/26 – 12/27)

Ron Paul 24%
Mitt Romney 20%
Newt Gingrich 13%
Michele Bachmann 11%
Rick Perry 10%
Rick Santorum 10%
Jon Huntsman 4%
Buddy Roemer 2%

Link to poll (pdf)

PPP surveyed 565 likely Republican caucus voters on December 26th and 27th. The
margin of error for the survey is +/-4.1%. Below are a few selected crosstabs. There are lots more in the pdf file released by PPP.

Ron Paul leads among voters whose most important issue is “government spending, reducing the debt”

Ron Paul 30%
Mitt Romney 18%
Rick Santorum 15%
Michele Bachmann 12%
Newt Gingrich 11%
Rick Perry 6%
Buddy Roemer 2%
Jon Huntsman 1%
Someone Else/Not Sure 6%

Ron Paul leads among voters whose most important issue is “foreign policy/national security”

Ron Paul 31%
Rick Santorum 21%
Newt Gingrich 17%
Rick Perry 14%
Jon Huntsman 8%
Mitt Romney 5%
Michele Bachmann 0%
Buddy Roemer 0%
Someone Else/Not Sure 5%

Ron Paul leads among voters who do NOT regularly watch Fox News:

Ron Paul 38%
Mitt Romney 13%
Rick Santorum 10%
Rick Perry 9%
Newt Gingrich 9%
Michele Bachmann 7%
Jon Huntsman 6%
Buddy Roemer 2%
Someone Else/Not Sure 5%

Ron Paul vs Mitt Romney among age groups:

18 to 29: Paul 37%, Romney 8%
30 to 45: Paul 34%, Romney 13%
46 to 65: Paul 20%, Romney 21%
66+: Paul: 12%, Romney 34%

“Who do you think is going to win the Iowa caucuses?”

Ron Paul 29%
Mitt Romney 15%
Newt Gingrich 8%
Michele Bachmann 7%
Rick Santorum 5%
Rick Perry 4%
Jon Huntsman 1%
Buddy Roemer 1%
Someone else/Not sure 30%

»crosslinked«

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